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Children's Place (Children's Place) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.53 (As of Oct23)


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What is Children's Place Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Oct23, Children's Place's earnings power value is $2.53. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -180.65

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Children's Place Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Children's Place Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Children's Place Annual Data
Trend Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 116.88 90.74 35.19 65.55 26.28

Children's Place Quarterly Data
Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.12 26.28 13.11 4.54 2.53

Competitive Comparison of Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Children's Place Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Children's Place's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,739
DDA 61
Operating Margin % 0.35
SGA * 25% 114
Tax Rate % 16.58
Maintenance Capex 54
Cash and Cash Equivalents 14
Short-Term Debt 425
Long-Term Debt 126
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 13

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.35%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,739 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.35%, Average Adjusted SGA = 114,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,739 * 0.35% +114 = $120.577661244 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 16.58%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $120.577661244 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 120.577661244 * ( 1 - 16.58% ) = $100.59070811619 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 61 * 0.5 * 16.58% = $5.040546112 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 100.59070811619 + 5.040546112 = $105.63125422819 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Children's Place's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $54 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Children's Place's current cash and cash equivalent = $14 Mil.
Children's Place's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 126 + 425 = $551.337 Mil.
Children's Place's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 13 Mil.

Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Oct23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 105.63125422819 - 54)/ 9%+14-551.337 )/13
=2.53

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.5262648283405-7.09 )/2.5262648283405
= -180.65%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Children's Place  (NAS:PLCE) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Children's Place Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Children's Place's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Children's Place (Children's Place) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Plaza Drive, Secaucus, NJ, USA, 07094
Children's Place Inc is pure-play children's specialty apparel retailer in North America. It design, contract to manufacture, sell at retail and wholesale, and license to sell, trend right, high quality merchandise predominantly at value prices, under proprietary The Children's Place, Place, Baby Place, Gymboree, Sugar & Jade, and PJ Place brand names.
Executives
Maegan Markee officer: BRAND PRESIDENT 500 PLAZA DRIVE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Alicia Enciso director 1721 VALLEY AVENUE, MCLEAN VA 22101
Jane T Elfers officer: President and CEO C/O THE CHILDRENS PLACE RETAIL STORES, 915 SECAUCUS ROAD, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Wesley S Mcdonald director
Michael A Shaffer director C/O PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORPORATION, 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Sheamus Toal officer: SVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 450 W. 33RD STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
John E. Bachman director 77 EXETER STREET, 1809, BOSTON MA 02116
Joseph A Alutto director 810 CURLEYS COURT, COLUMBUS OH 43235
Jared Shure officer: SVP, GEN COUNSEL & SECRETARY 500 PLAZA DRIVE, THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Elizabeth J Boland director C/O BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS, 2 WELLS AVENUE, NEWTON MA 02459
Deborah Derby officer: CHIEF ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICER TOYS R US INC, 225 SUMMIT AVE, MONTVALE NJ 07645
Katherine Kountze director 500 PLAZA DRIVE, C/O THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Michael D Rinaldo officer: CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER C/O TIFFANY & CO., 727 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Leah Swan officer: CHIEF ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICER 500 PLAZA DRIVE, C/O THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, INC., SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Robert F Helm officer: SVP, FINANCE & INV MGMT (CAO) 500 PLAZA DRIVE, THE CHILDREN'S PLACE, SECAUCUS NJ 07094